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UNEOSPACE Maneuver Risk Engine

From conjunction alert to evidence-based maneuver decision

A decision-support engine that compares maneuver options, quantifies collision and mission risk, and produces auditable recommendations before maneuver execution.

01

Conjunction Alert

Receive a potential collision notice and initiate structured assessment.

02

Risk Assessment

Quantify Pc, miss distance, uncertainty and operational thresholds.

03

Maneuver Options

Compare feasible avoidance plans against mission constraints.

04

Recommendation

Produce a ranked, evidence-backed maneuver choice and audit trail.

<24h Typical compressed decision window after a high-priority alert
82% Risk reduction in the demo recommendation
83/100 Overall decision score for Option B
6 weeks Maneuver Decision Readiness pilot offer
The Problem

Satellite maneuver decisions are becoming harder to approve safely

Operators are not missing data. They are missing structured decision support that connects orbital risk, fuel cost, mission continuity and approval evidence.

Traffic

More conjunction alerts

LEO growth increases screening events, close approach warnings and the number of maneuver decisions teams must evaluate.

Operations

Limited decision windows

Operators may have only hours to evaluate, approve and execute a maneuver before time of closest approach.

Assurance

Auditability pressure

Critical decisions need traceability, justification, assumptions, validation checks and post-event review.

Today's workflow

  1. Alert received
  2. Manual analysis
  3. Multiple fragmented tools
  4. Expert judgment
  5. Difficult-to-audit decision

What operators need

  1. Alert received
  2. Structured option comparison
  3. Risk and impact scoring
  4. Evidence-based recommendation
  5. Auditable decision package
The Solution

A decision layer before maneuver execution

UNEOSPACE MRE evaluates proposed maneuver options against collision risk, fuel impact, mission constraints, timing sensitivity and operational confidence.

Inputs
  • Satellite orbit data: TLE, OEM, OMM, CDM
  • Object of concern
  • Proposed maneuver options
  • Fuel and mission constraints
  • Ground contact windows
  • Operator thresholds
Maneuver Risk Engine

Collision Risk

Pc, miss distance, relative geometry and uncertainty evaluation.

Fuel Impact

Delta-v cost, fuel margin and lifetime impact.

Mission Constraints

Payload schedule, contact windows and operational conflicts.

Confidence

Data quality, covariance confidence and validation status.

Outputs
  • Ranked maneuver options
  • Risk and mission impact scores
  • Confidence level
  • Recommended maneuver
  • Required validation checks
  • Evidence package and audit trail
Demo Scenario

From conjunction alert to maneuver decision

A LEO Earth observation satellite receives a high-priority alert. The operator has less than 24 hours to reduce collision risk without compromising fuel budget or mission continuity.

UNEO-SAT-1 Mission Setup

Orbit
LEO / Sun-synchronous, ~550 km
Mission type
Earth observation
Object of concern
Debris object 2019-084Q
Time to closest approach
21h 35m
Predicted miss distance
92 m
Collision probability
1.8 x 10^-4
Operator threshold
1.0 x 10^-4
Covariance confidence
Medium
Option Strategy Delta-v Timing Expected Profile
A Conservative early maneuver 0.045 m/s TCA - 16h Low fuel, moderate risk reduction
B Balanced maneuver 0.073 m/s TCA - 11h Strong risk reduction, manageable impact
C Late aggressive maneuver 0.105 m/s TCA - 4h Highest risk reduction, high operational cost

Recommended: Option B

Best balance between collision risk reduction, fuel preservation, mission continuity, timing margin and operational confidence.

Decision Output

The safest decision is not always the lowest immediate Pc

Option C has the lowest post-maneuver collision probability, but Option B is the better operational decision due to fuel cost, timing robustness and mission impact.

Criterion Option A Option B Option C
Pc after maneuver9.6 x 10^-53.2 x 10^-51.1 x 10^-5
Risk reduction47%82%94%
Delta-v0.045 m/s0.073 m/s0.105 m/s
Mission disruptionNoneMinor replanningSignificant
Timing robustnessHighMediumLow
Overall score76 / 10083 / 10066 / 100
Required Validation

Approve with operational review

  • Nominal burn scenario
  • 10-minute execution delay case
  • 15% underburn case
  • Covariance sensitivity check
  • Post-maneuver conjunction scan
Positioning

Not another mission dashboard. A decision layer.

UNEOSPACE complements mission control systems, flight dynamics tools and SSA providers by adding risk-aware, auditable decision intelligence before execution.

We do not replace

Mission control systems, flight dynamics teams, SSA providers or operator approval authority.

We add

Structured decision support, operational risk scoring, maneuver ranking and evidence packaging.

Primary beachhead

Small and mid-sized LEO operators with real maneuver risk and limited internal flight dynamics capacity.

Enterprise path

Paid pilots evolve into annual SaaS and enterprise decision infrastructure across missions and fleets.

Commercial Entry

Start with Maneuver Decision Readiness

A focused 6-week pilot validates UNEOSPACE MRE on real or representative conjunction scenarios and prepares the roadmap to integration.

Early Commercial Pilot

EUR 25k - 50k

Customer scenario setup, orbit/conjunction data ingestion, 2-3 maneuver evaluations and recommendation report.

Institutional Pilot

EUR 75k - 150k

Mission assurance workflow, evidence generation and validation package for demonstrator or research missions.

Strategic Pilot

EUR 150k - 300k

Fast decision support under compressed timelines, degraded environments and resilience-focused operations.

Roadmap

From Maneuver Risk Engine to Unified Decision Layer

A focused product wedge expands into decision infrastructure for maneuver risk, operational changes, autonomy approvals and mission assurance evidence.

0-2 months

MRE MVP

Demo-ready maneuver risk engine.

3-4 months

Pilot-ready MRE

Customer scenario, evidence report and API prototype.

5-6 months

CIA Module

Mission impact and change assessment.

7-9 months

ASG Module

Assurance scenario generation before approval.

10-12 months

UDL v1

Integrated risk, impact, evidence and API layer.

FAQ

Frequently asked questions

Short answers for operators, institutions and pilot partners evaluating UNEOSPACE MRE.

It ranks maneuver options and recommends the option with the strongest operational trade-off across collision risk, fuel impact, mission disruption, timing robustness and evidence confidence.

No. It sits between orbital analysis and final maneuver approval, adding structured trade-off scoring, decision rationale, validation checks and an auditable evidence package.

A 6-week Maneuver Decision Readiness pilot: scenario setup, data ingestion, 2-3 maneuver option evaluations, a recommendation report, evidence package and integration roadmap.

Universal Ask

Seeking pilot partners for real maneuver decision scenarios

In the next 90 days, UNEOSPACE is building the MVP, running the demo, securing pilot conversations and preparing paid pilots with satellite operators and institutional partners.